An early take on our Summer Monsoon 2019
T he buzz is back as the monsoon 2019 season nears. Already a bunch of predictions are pouring over the internet, so here's one more to add to the reader's confusion! :). *********************** MY PREDICTIONS (Unofficial): *********************** TIMELY ONSET OF MONSOON (since ENSO generally doesn't impact the onset) - Hits Kerala on June 1st (+ 2 days). Mumbai ~ June 11th (+2 days). 1. MUMBAI, GOA, & KOKAN COAST - NORMAL/SLIGHT EXCESS 2. KERALA & PENINSULAR INDIA - SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL 3. CENTRAL INDIA, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA - BELOW NORMAL 4. EAST COAST - SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL 5. NORTH-EAST - NORMAL 6. GUJARAT, KUTCH, NORTH WEST - BELOW NORMAL 7. NORTH INDIA - NORMAL 8. SOUTH INDIA (INTERIOR TN, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, & AP) - BELOW NORMAL **** OVERALL SWM 2019 - BELOW NORMAL (92-95% of LPA) **** OVERARCHING CONCLUSIONS: 1. Interior Karnataka, Andhra, Marathwada & Vidarbha regions need to exercise caution,